Need predictions about the future?

Need predictions about the future? | Changes of Tomorrow

The handshake will fade out as a greeting form. Some epidemiologists wish this to be the case because this is exactly how pandemics happen. 


adc视频在线观看COVID-19 is a health crisis first and foremost. The virus has sadly already claimed the lives of over 125,000 people all around the world. It has no regard for race, nationality, or your bank account.  This is also a human crisis. The pandemic is affecting and transforming people’s lives in ways not yet fully understood.

It is very tempting for a newsletter about the future to start speculating about the many ways in which the future might look. Maybe you’re expecting this email to predict what exactly will remain in 2021 from a sheltered, distanced, and sanitized perspective.

Well, we will fight the temptation, for now, to make predictions like this one:

The handshake will fade out as a greeting form. Some wish this to be the case because this is exactly how pandemics happen.

We can see a possible future for Anglosaxon cultures with no handshakes… but what would happen in Latin countries where a kiss is more commonly used?

adc视频在线观看Is three months into the pandemic too soon to tell what our behaviors will become, say 5 years from now?

Imagine if we said that remote work will increase now that employers/employees have seen the potential benefits. But what if the opposite happens, where managers and workers who prefer to keep their personal and professional lives at home completely separate, and seek to stay away from remote anything?

adc视频在线观看Imagine we predicted that the travel industry will take years to recover, caused by closed borders, frightened travelers and a bankrupted industry. But what if precisely because of the desperate needs of the industry to recover (and people to leave their homes), you’d see a surge of cheaper travel to less crowded destinations with improved services?

What could tilt the balance one way or the other? Or who? This issue of Changes of Tomorrow explores some of the “predictions” that have been made so far.

One thing is for sure: whatever the future might become, there is always tomorrow.


What’s changing: Monday, April 20th, 2020

In the future, of course, there are no handshakes. Star Trek, Star Wars, even Spaceballs… no one shakes hands. And handshakes haven’t been the standard default for as long as we think–they were codified by the Quakers five hundred years ago because they were thought to be more egalitarian than tipping a hat or bowing.” (3 min read)

Our mobility has been restricted in different ways around the world. Google has been capturing mobility changes data across countries with these results:
In , retail and recreation have decreased by 95%. In the , -49%, in , -94%, and in , -67%. In , which is adopting a different strategy to fight the virus, retail has seen a decrease of -25%, but visits to Parks have increased by +69%. (1-10 min read)

After the pandemic… we need an “anti-wartime” economy and a massive scaling back of production. And if we want to be more resilient to pandemics in the future (and to avoid the worst of climate change), we need a system capable of scaling back production in a way that doesn’t mean loss of livelihood. So what we need is a different economic mindset. We tend to think of the economy as the way we buy and sell things, mainly consumer goods. But this is not what an economy is or needs to be. At its core, the economy is the way we take our resources and turn them into the things we . Looked at this way, we can start to see more opportunities for living differently that allow us to produce less stuff without increasing misery.”
adc视频在线观看 (5 min read)

adc视频在线观看When you look at developing to deal with the lockdown, you realize the lockdown is unhealthy — but it is keeping us alive. (2 min read)

adc视频在线观看An interesting look at the past to help us imagine the future: For the first time in more than 40 years, the U.S. was not the most active applicant for international patents. . The U.S. had 57,840.

“This is our chance to define a new version of normal, a rare and truly sacred (yes, sacred) opportunity to get rid of the bullshit and to only bring back what works for us, what makes our lives richer, what makes our kids happier, what makes us truly proud. We get to Marie Kondo the shit out of it all. We . That is clear. That can be seen in every supportive Facebook post, in every meal dropped off for a neighbor, in every Zoom birthday party. We are good people. And as a good people, we want to define — on our own terms — what this country looks like in five, 10, 50 years. This is our chance to do that, the biggest one we have ever gotten. And the best one we’ll ever get.”
(7 min read)

to lift the stay-at-home restrictions: (3 min read)
adc视频在线观看 The plan consists of four phases and focuses on opening more lucrative sectors first.

  • Phase 1: Tech and finance, plus slices of trade-oriented industries. These sectors employ more than 10% of the population.
  • Phase 2: Commerce and retail stores.
  • Phase 3: Restaurants and hotels. The NSC expects most of the education system will be back at this point, too.
  • Phase 4: Recreational sectors like sports, air travel, and entertainment.

Will in any way by all this? Spring graduations postponed, grades are being changed and fall classes are being moved online already.

. (6 min read and 58 min podcast)


Food for thought

adc视频在线观看 Mexico accounts for 30% of asparagus exports, and many of those go to both the US and Asia. But because there’s been a downturn in economic activity, shipments to Asia have decreased, which has Mexico redirecting its asparagus to its northern neighbor. With the US getting more asparagus than is typical, the supply outweighs the demand. That drives down prices, which ultimately impacts US farmers.


Overheard around the web halls

We like the future that we can anticipate—but sometimes things that we can anticipate don’t become the future. The culture industry is at the moment going direct. Under the “United We Stream” umbrella, a collaboration of 40 Berlin nightclubs livestream DJ sets every night, starting at 7pm, directly into partygoers’ homes (at least that’s a club that everyone can get into). At the beginning of the outbreak in New York City, Metropolitan Opera started nightly live-streaming of its past performances. Broadway plays and musicals . And this past Saturday, on April 11th, Brooklyn music venue, nightclub and arts space, will open in Minecraft. There are detailed instructions for how to listen to the audio stream and the hashtag, #NetherMeant, for sharing experience on Twitter; those who can’t join the game, can still .

From by


Future numbers 

Fishermen are giving away their catches — because 70% of seafood is purchased while eating out.

In December 2019, the platform had a maximum of 10 million daily participants. Last month, it hit more than 200 million.

“Sales of baking yeast surged 647%, more than any other food during the pandemic.

According to the National Restaurant Association, 60% . (This was pre coronavirus)

90,510. The number of on Friday, April 12th. Compare that to the same day one year ago: 2,446,801.
adc视频在线观看 Wired Magazine


Echoes from last week’s newsletter

This could be the future:

On a food delivery app in China, the delivery person’s body temperature is now displayed in the mobile app on the delivery details screen.

Fun ways to use the time:

On Twitter:
“Her test results came on the day of her funeral. It was a bleak affair even as funerals go with the priest acting as the only speaker and AV specialist in charge of Zoom-grieving. As he welcomed her relatives, he wondered how many of them were actually wearing pants.”


And finally, I found comfort in this podcast by Brene Brown. “” (25 min audio)


This week’s exploration of possible futures was curated with curiosity by , Future Activist.